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1Q25 Commentary: The Tariff Man Cometh

2024 was a spectacular year for U.S. equity indices, but only a normal one for the typical stock which pulled back appreciably in December. Headline equity performance continued to be driven by the very…

Iran, Oil, Oranges
Iran, Oil, Oranges

All eyes are on the Middle East, as the U.S. struck Iranian nuclear facilities over the weekend. Although the turmoil will affect global oil markets, the rise of shale oil has left the U.S….

Inflation, Tariffs, Weather
Inflation, Tariffs, Weather

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose less than economists expected in May, a promising sign during the first full month with some tariff impact. It’s possible that businesses are still in a “wait and…

Risk Premium, Interest Rates, One Big Beautiful Bill
Risk Premium, Interest Rates, One Big Beautiful Bill

We want to take a moment this Memorial Day Weekend to honor those who gave their lives in service and reflect on their enduring sacrifice. It’s a solemn reminder of the cost of freedom…

Trade, Labor, The G.O.A.T.
Trade, Labor, The G.O.A.T.

U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) contracted slightly in the first quarter, although the report was heavily distorted by trade-related factors. Businesses and consumers alike are adjusting to tariffs, and they’re not very happy about…

GDP, China, Jobs
GDP, China, Jobs

U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) contracted slightly in the first quarter, although the report was heavily distorted by trade-related factors. Businesses and consumers alike are adjusting to tariffs, and they’re not very happy about…

1Q25 Commentary: The Tariff Man Cometh
1Q25 Commentary: The Tariff Man Cometh

2024 was a spectacular year for U.S. equity indices, but only a normal one for the typical stock which pulled back appreciably in December. Headline equity performance continued to be driven by the very…

Uncertainty, Earnings, Travel
Uncertainty, Earnings, Travel

Uncertainty surrounding trade is causing businesses to delay or cancel capital spending plans. The deteriorating earnings outlook likely isn’t helping either. Equity markets showed signs of stress in the week following “Liberation Day.”

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