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2Q25 Commentary: Unsteady Ground, Unshaken Optimism

Markets shook off early volatility in Q2 2025, but underlying risks remain. We discuss shifting global leadership, labor market cracks, and growing investor complacency—plus how our strategies adapted amid evolving market dynamics.

Mortgage Rates, Earnings Estimates, Nbelievable
Mortgage Rates, Earnings Estimates, Nbelievable

The Federal Reserve’s restrictive interest rate policy often shoulders the blame for higher mortgage rates but it’s not that simple. Lower mortgage rates will improve housing affordability at the margin, but the housing market…

Changing Economics of Mag 7, U.S. Stocks Lagging, Home Purchases Falling Through
Changing Economics of Mag 7, U.S. Stocks Lagging, Home Purchases Falling Through

Despite record earnings per share, tech giants are dramatically increasing their spending—moves that could reshape the economics of their businesses. The short- and long-term impacts of new tariffs are expected to vary drastically by…

Chinese Export Growth, Market Breadth, Tariff Pressures
Chinese Export Growth, Market Breadth, Tariff Pressures

Recent data highlights a growing divergence between headline narratives and what’s happening beneath the surface. As U.S. imports from China decline, global trade appears to be rerouting through other countries. Market breadth continues to…

AI Spending, Trade Policy, Goods Prices
AI Spending, Trade Policy, Goods Prices

The past week brought additional clarity to a few major economic themes. AI investment from major tech firms isn’t slowing, it’s accelerating. Outside of the AI boom, the economy appears to be slowing. U.S….

2Q25 Commentary: Unsteady Ground, Unshaken Optimism
2Q25 Commentary: Unsteady Ground, Unshaken Optimism

Markets shook off early volatility in Q2 2025, but underlying risks remain. We discuss shifting global leadership, labor market cracks, and growing investor complacency—plus how our strategies adapted amid evolving market dynamics.

Speculation, Hard Data, U.S. Dollar
Speculation, Hard Data, U.S. Dollar

U.S. equity markets are beginning to feel downright frothy as investors chase the rally and pile into some of the most speculative companies. While equity market gains began the year with broad gains, performance…

The “Mag 8” Are Now Competitors: What This Means for Investors
The “Mag 8” Are Now Competitors: What This Means for Investors

The “Magnificent 8” built their leadership through dominance in their respective sectors. Now, all eight companies are competing in the same vertical—AI. Watch this video for more context on what this means for investors:

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