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Markets shook off early volatility in Q2 2025, but underlying risks remain. We discuss shifting global leadership, labor market cracks, and growing investor complacency—plus how our strategies adapted amid evolving market dynamics.
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- 23rd Jul 2025

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- 29th Aug 2025
Mortgage Rates, Earnings Estimates, Nbelievable
The Federal Reserve’s restrictive interest rate policy often shoulders the blame for higher mortgage rates but it’s not that simple. Lower mortgage rates will improve housing affordability at the margin, but the housing market…

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- 22nd Aug 2025
Changing Economics of Mag 7, U.S. Stocks Lagging, Home Purchases Falling Through
Despite record earnings per share, tech giants are dramatically increasing their spending—moves that could reshape the economics of their businesses. The short- and long-term impacts of new tariffs are expected to vary drastically by…

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- 15th Aug 2025
Chinese Export Growth, Market Breadth, Tariff Pressures
Recent data highlights a growing divergence between headline narratives and what’s happening beneath the surface. As U.S. imports from China decline, global trade appears to be rerouting through other countries. Market breadth continues to…

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- 01st Aug 2025
AI Spending, Trade Policy, Goods Prices
The past week brought additional clarity to a few major economic themes. AI investment from major tech firms isn’t slowing, it’s accelerating. Outside of the AI boom, the economy appears to be slowing. U.S….

- TIMELY PM UPDATES
- 23rd Jul 2025
2Q25 Commentary: Unsteady Ground, Unshaken Optimism
Markets shook off early volatility in Q2 2025, but underlying risks remain. We discuss shifting global leadership, labor market cracks, and growing investor complacency—plus how our strategies adapted amid evolving market dynamics.

- FIRESIDE CHARTS
- 21st Jul 2025
Speculation, Hard Data, U.S. Dollar
U.S. equity markets are beginning to feel downright frothy as investors chase the rally and pile into some of the most speculative companies. While equity market gains began the year with broad gains, performance…

- ECONOMICS & INVESTING TIMELY PM UPDATES
- 15th Jul 2025
The “Mag 8” Are Now Competitors: What This Means for Investors
The “Magnificent 8” built their leadership through dominance in their respective sectors. Now, all eight companies are competing in the same vertical—AI. Watch this video for more context on what this means for investors: